UK Market Monitor Q3 2023

Over the quarter, long dated Real and Nominal Gilt yields increased by at least c.30bps, for the longest maturities the increase was as high as c.50bps.

Inflation expectations have not materially changed versus the previous quarter, hence the higher yields are driven by higher real yields as opposed to higher inflation.

Inflation has continued to decrease in Q3 albeit still significantly higher than the Bank of England’s 2% target for CPI.

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UK Market Monitor Q1 2024

Real and nominal Gilt yields both increased over the quarter. Real yields averaged an increase of circa 15 bps, while nominal yields increased by circa 30bps. This led to a commensurately higher break-even inflation rate.