Inflation expectations have not materially changed versus the previous quarter, hence the higher yields are driven by higher real yields as opposed to higher inflation.
Inflation has continued to decrease in Q3 albeit still significantly higher than the Bank of England’s 2% target for CPI.
Over the quarter, the nominal gilt curve has shifted down by around 25 basis points across the medium to longer maturities.
A broadly parallel upward shift of approximately 20 basis points is evident across the nominal gilts curve, with yields reaching multi-year highs.
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The short-term nominal curve shows a decrease in yields for tenors under 20 years, while remaining relatively flat at the longer end of the curve.