Search
Close this search box.

UK Market Monitor Q4 2024

Nominal and real gilt yields have substantially increased over Q4 2024. The nominal curve has increased by an average of c50bps, and the real curve by an average c44bps.

Year on year RPI inflation rose over the quarter to 3.4% (from 2.7% at the beginning of the quarter) and the CPI index rose to 2.3% (from 1.7% at the beginning of the quarter).

Market expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025 have substantially reduced. The market is now expecting only two rate cuts in the coming year, from the current 4.75% level to 4.25%. Spreads versus swaps for non-financial corporate bonds marginally decreased over the quarter, moving 5 to 8 bps lower across the credit rating spectrum.

More News