UK Market Monitor Q3 2024

There was little change in nominal and real gilt yields over the quarter. The average reduction was c14 bps for the nominal yield curve, and c8 bps for the real yield curve.

The reduction was more pronounced at shorter maturities for both curves. Year on year inflation continues to fall and September RPI inflation came in at 1.7% while RPI inflation stood at 2.7%. Interest rate cuts are expected by the market, with a total 50bps cut expected over the two Bank of England meetings to year end. Over the quarter, non-financials corporate credit spreads have increased modestly albeit remaining at historic lows (note the z-spread shown is versus swaps).

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UK Market Monitor Q4 2025

Over the quarter, the nominal gilt curve has shifted down by around 25 basis points across the medium to longer maturities.

UK Market Monitor Q3 2025

A broadly parallel upward shift of approximately 20 basis points is evident across the nominal gilts curve, with yields reaching multi-year highs.

UK Market Monitor Q2 2025

The short-term nominal curve shows a decrease in yields for tenors under 20 years, while remaining relatively flat at the longer end of the curve.