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UK Market Monitor Q3 2024

There was little change in nominal and real gilt yields over the quarter. The average reduction was c14 bps for the nominal yield curve, and c8 bps for the real yield curve.

The reduction was more pronounced at shorter maturities for both curves. Year on year inflation continues to fall and September RPI inflation came in at 1.7% while RPI inflation stood at 2.7%. Interest rate cuts are expected by the market, with a total 50bps cut expected over the two Bank of England meetings to year end. Over the quarter, non-financials corporate credit spreads have increased modestly albeit remaining at historic lows (note the z-spread shown is versus swaps).

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